Preseason Rankings
Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#269
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.0#78
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#283
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#230
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.2% 27.6% 19.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 66.1% 79.1% 55.2%
.500 or above in Conference 88.4% 92.6% 84.9%
Conference Champion 30.3% 37.3% 24.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.4% 1.2%
First Four16.7% 17.5% 15.9%
First Round15.4% 19.5% 12.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SE Louisiana (Away) - 45.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 415 - 716 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2019 299   @ SE Louisiana L 68-69 46%    
  Nov 20, 2019 330   @ San Jose St. W 76-74 58%    
  Nov 23, 2019 74   @ Oregon St. L 64-80 8%    
  Nov 26, 2019 270   Portland St. W 77-76 51%    
  Nov 29, 2019 160   @ UC Santa Barbara L 66-75 21%    
  Dec 07, 2019 149   @ Loyola Marymount L 61-71 20%    
  Dec 10, 2019 223   @ Louisiana Monroe L 70-76 32%    
  Dec 17, 2019 27   @ Marquette L 65-86 4%    
  Dec 23, 2019 60   @ Dayton L 61-79 7%    
  Jan 04, 2020 352   Alabama A&M W 75-60 89%    
  Jan 06, 2020 332   Alabama St. W 76-68 76%    
  Jan 11, 2020 346   @ Southern W 72-67 67%    
  Jan 13, 2020 345   @ Alcorn St. W 72-67 66%    
  Jan 18, 2020 277   Prairie View W 78-74 63%    
  Jan 20, 2020 265   Texas Southern W 85-82 59%    
  Jan 25, 2020 303   @ Jackson St. L 67-68 48%    
  Feb 01, 2020 343   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 71-66 65%    
  Feb 03, 2020 353   @ Mississippi Valley W 78-69 78%    
  Feb 08, 2020 346   Southern W 75-64 82%    
  Feb 10, 2020 345   Alcorn St. W 75-64 81%    
  Feb 15, 2020 277   @ Prairie View L 75-77 42%    
  Feb 17, 2020 265   @ Texas Southern L 82-85 40%    
  Feb 22, 2020 303   Jackson St. W 70-65 67%    
  Feb 29, 2020 343   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 74-63 81%    
  Mar 02, 2020 353   Mississippi Valley W 81-66 89%    
  Mar 05, 2020 352   @ Alabama A&M W 72-63 76%    
  Mar 07, 2020 332   @ Alabama St. W 73-71 57%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.4 5.6 8.3 7.1 4.7 1.7 30.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 4.2 6.8 5.9 2.6 0.5 21.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.3 5.7 3.3 0.8 0.1 15.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.0 4.3 2.0 0.2 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.2 1.2 3.3 2.8 0.9 0.1 8.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.9 3.1 4.6 7.0 8.5 10.5 12.5 12.7 12.3 11.0 7.6 4.7 1.7 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.7    1.7
17-1 100.0% 4.7    4.6 0.2
16-2 93.3% 7.1    6.2 0.9 0.0
15-3 75.6% 8.3    5.7 2.4 0.1
14-4 45.5% 5.6    2.7 2.3 0.5 0.0
13-5 18.5% 2.4    0.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.3% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 30.3% 30.3 21.6 7.1 1.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.7% 67.5% 67.5% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.5
17-1 4.7% 56.5% 56.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 2.1
16-2 7.6% 47.6% 47.6% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.8 4.0
15-3 11.0% 38.6% 38.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 3.9 6.7
14-4 12.3% 29.8% 29.8% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.6 8.6
13-5 12.7% 23.7% 23.7% 16.0 0.0 3.0 9.7
12-6 12.5% 16.5% 16.5% 16.0 2.1 10.4
11-7 10.5% 12.0% 12.0% 16.0 1.3 9.2
10-8 8.5% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.8 7.7
9-9 7.0% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.4 6.6
8-10 4.6% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.2 4.5
7-11 3.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 3.0
6-12 1.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.9
5-13 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 23.2% 23.2% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.4 19.7 76.8 0.0%